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Which U.S. Areas Have the Highest Risk of Eviction or Foreclosure?

See which cities, metro areas, and states are at the highest risk

America is undergoing a severe cost-of-living crisis that has only been deepening with each passing year. Rent prices continue to exceed overall price inflation, mortgage rates are at a multi-decade high, and there is a housing shortage of over seven million affordable homes. The United States housing crisis has seemingly accelerated since the COVID-19 pandemic—both the cost of rent and the cost of purchasing a home has risen steeply in the past four years, with demand outpacing supply, especially in metropolitan areas.

The number of cost-burdened households (a household that spends over 30% of their income on housing costs) has reached nearly one-third of all households, the highest rate since 2015. According to the United States Census Bureau, renters experience the brunt of this burden; almost half of all renter households are cost-burdened, paying around 31% of their income towards housing. For 70% of extremely low-income families, over half of income goes to housing.

The unfortunate reality is that with U.S. housing costs reaching debilitating levels, foreclosure rates and eviction rates are following suit—around 30% face losing their homes in major U.S. cities! The cost-of-living crisis varies in severity across the country, so the team at MortgageCalculator.org has conducted a nationwide analysis to shed light on where residents are facing the highest likelihood of evictions or foreclosures. The results are alarming:

The State of Housing Stability in America: Evictions and Foreclosures, Mapped

Where in the U.S. is the highest percentage of residents who are likely to be evicted or foreclosed upon?

Infographic Embed Code

What metro area has the most residents likely to be evicted or foreclosed upon?

The volatility of the housing market means that eviction rates also vary dramatically by location throughout the year. First, we will reveal the five U.S. cities with the highest eviction rates and highest foreclosure rates overall (based on percentage of residents who are likely to be evicted or foreclosed upon):

  • Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX eviction/foreclosure rate – 39%
  • Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX eviction/foreclosure rate – 35.2%
  • Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI eviction/foreclosure rate – 34.1%
  • Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ eviction/foreclosure rate - 34.1%
  • Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI eviction/foreclosure rate – 33.7%

Why is housing insecurity so high in Dallas, Texas? A presentation by the City Council of Dallas found substantial evidence of a “dramatic decrease” in affordable homes for its residents. Fewer than one-fifth of renters in Dallas make the $100,000 salary required to afford a typical Dallas home, and there are 40,000 too few homes that are affordable for households making an annual salary of $55,000 or below. The rental insecurity of Dallas has become increasingly dire; there are 100,000 fewer rental units available for $1,000 or less monthly since 2017; by contrast, the number of rental units costing $1,500 or more has increased by 66,000. Residents in Dallas face the highest eviction and foreclosure rates from May 28–June 24 at 48% and July 23–August 19 at 61.5% (the highest of all).

January 9–February 5

In these date ranges, Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL, has the highest rate of residents facing eviction or foreclosure at 56.7%. This staggering number is only the second highest we encountered in our housing crisis analysis. What is contributing to Miami’s housing crisis? According to a report by Miami Homes for All, Miami is experiencing a housing shortage of over 90,000 affordable units. A major contributing factor to housing and rental insecurity in Miami is the cost of living, which is 30.3% above the national average. In addition, the median price for a single-family home in Miami has reached nearly $600,000, a shocking $200,000 more than the average house price in America. Considering that theHousehold Survival Budget in Miami is $76,284, and the median household income is $59,044, it is no wonder that it has become increasingly challenging for people to stay housed in the Florida city.

February 6–March 4

In this date range, the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA, metropolitan area has the highest rate of residents facing eviction or foreclosure at 49.1%. Seattle’s housing crisis is also primarily caused by the lack of affordable housing. According to a Zillow analysis, an annual income of at least $214,000 is required to afford a house in the Seattle area, the highest income needed in the country outside of California, and an increase of $47,000 since 2020.

March 5–April 1, April 2–29

The Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ, metropolitan area has the highest rate of residents facing eviction or foreclosure in these date ranges at 43.7 and 35.6%. Arizona’s housing crisis has been brewing since before the pandemic, with rent prices skyrocketing 72% between 2010 and 2022 and home prices increasing by 57% between 2019 and 2023. Incomes are lagging behind with swelling housing prices—minimum wage workers would need to work 86 hours weekly to make $62,252, the annual income required to afford a two-bedroom home. There may be hope on the horizon for housing insecurity in Phoenix with the state government’s Housing Phoenix Plan.

April 30–May 27, August 20–September 16

The San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA, metropolitan area has the highest rate of residents facing eviction or foreclosure for these date ranges at 51.7% and 50.8%. San Francisco’s housing affordability crisis began in the 1990s and has only worsened. One significant exacerbating factor is San Francisco’s extreme cost of living. A ConsumerAffairs report found that to live comfortably in San Francisco, you would need a minimum salary of $131,050. The median rent is $3,276.27, and the median home price is nearly $1.5 million, which is practically unimaginable for the average American. In 2024, Mayor London Breed launched the Housing for All plan to steer San Francisco’s housing crisis in the right direction.

What state is the most likely to have residents evicted or foreclosed upon?

Where are mortgage foreclosure rates and eviction rates the highest on a statewide level? Around 38.6% of Idaho residents face eviction or foreclosure in 2024, the most nationwide. A recent report by the National Association of Realtors found that Idaho has the country's second least affordable housing market, just barely missing first place after Montana. Overall, rent has increased by 40% and home prices by 50% across Idaho in just the past few years. The rental crisis has been particularly severe in Treasure Valley, Idaho’s most populous region, where eviction rates have nearly doubled since 2022.

How to avoid foreclosure and eviction

While there is no surefire way to avoid foreclosure (life is unpredictable, and prices are increasing across the board), there are steps you can take to help secure your home. First, it is important to avoid bad credit mortgages, otherwise known as subprime mortgages. These types of mortgages are often given to people struggling with poor credit, so it is advisable to do what you can to improve your credit score before getting locked into a disadvantageous mortgage. Bad credit mortgages are rife with high interest rates, penalties, and balloon payment stipulations (when the borrower must pay the remaining sum all at once after a specified period has passed).

Making an informed choice between renting and buying a home is a vital step in avoiding eviction or foreclosure as well. Our rent or buy mortgage calculator can help you make educated decisions that are customized to your area and situation.

The 15 largest U.S. metropolitan areas ranked by the percentage of residents likely to be evicted or foreclosed upon in 2024

(Based on the average percentage of residents who are likely to be evicted or foreclosed upon each month between January 9, 2024 – September 16, 2024)

The percentage of adults in households behind on rent or mortgage and likely facing eviction or foreclosure within two months.

Annual Totals

Rank Metro area % likely to be evicted or foreclosed upon in 2024
1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 39.0%
2 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX 35.2%
3 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI 34.1%
4 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ 34.1%
5 Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI 33.7%
6 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL 33.5%
7 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 31.7%
8 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA 31.5%
9 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA 31.1%
10 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 30.6%
11 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 29.6%
12 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 27.4%
13 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 26.6%
14 Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH 25.7%
15 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA 24.7%
  U.S. average 30.7%

The percentage of residents who were likely to be evicted or foreclosed upon each month of 2024 in the 15 largest U.S. metropolitan areas

January 9–February 5

Rank Metro area Percentage
1 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL (MFP) 56.7%
2 Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI (DWD) 46.0%
3 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX (DFA) 43.3%
4 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV (WAA) 42.8%
5 Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH (BCN) 41.3%
6 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD (PCW) 33.8%
7 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX (HWS) 28.3%
8 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA (SOB) 27.1%
9 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA (STB) 25.8%
10 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA (NNJ) 22.2%
11 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI (CNE) 21.9%
12 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA (ASA) 18.6%
13 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA (RSO) 15.9%
14 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ (PMC) 12.2%
15 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA (LLA) 11.1%
  U.S. average 31.5%

February 6–March 4

Rank Metro area Metro abbreviation Percentage
1 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA STB 49.1%
2 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI CNE 45.2%
3 Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI DWD 43.9%
4 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD PCW 37.1%
5 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ PMC 36.2%
6 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA ASA 35.0%
7 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV WAA 34.5%
8 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX DFA 33.2%
9 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA RSO 33.1%
10 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA SOB 26.4%
11 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX HWS 26.1%
12 Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH BCN 24.3%
13 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA LLA 22.8%
14 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL MFP 22.0%
15 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA NNJ 20.6%
  U.S. average 31.2%

March 5 – April 1

Rank Metro area Metro abbreviation Percentage
1 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ PMC 43.7%
2 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA LLA 40.8%
3 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL MFP 36.5%
4 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX HWS 34.3%
5 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX DFA 33.3%
6 Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH BCN 31.5%
7 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA ASA 30.6%
8 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA NNJ 29.2%
9 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA STB 28.9%
10 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI CNE 27.7%
11 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA RSO 21.8%
12 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV WAA 21.3%
13 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD PCW 18.5%
14 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA SOB 16.5%
15 Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI DWD 13.8%
  U.S. average 31.3%

April 2–29

Rank Metro area Metro abbreviation Percentage
1 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ PMC 35.6%
2 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA SOB 33.2%
3 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX HWS 31.0%
4 Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI DWD 29.6%
4 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV WAA 29.6%
6 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI CNE 28.3%
7 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA RSO 26.6%
8 Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH BCN 25.9%
9 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA ASA 23.9%
10 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA STB 23.2%
11 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA NNJ 22.6%
12 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL MFP 13.1%
13 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX DFA 12.1%
14 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA LLA 12.0%
15 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD PCW 9.6%
  U.S. average 30%

April 30–May 27

Rank Metro area Metro abbreviation Percentage
1 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA SOB 51.7%
2 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ PMC 47.5%
3 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX HWS 44.5%
4 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA RSO 39.9%
5 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA ASA 36.6%
6 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA STB 35.6%
7 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX DFA 34.0%
8 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA LLA 33.3%
9 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA NNJ 31.8%
10 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL MFP 26.0%
10 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV WAA 26.0%
12 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD PCW 21.7%
13 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI CNE 21.4%
14 Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI DWD 20.1%
15 Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH BCN 19.1%
  U.S. average 32.2%

May 28–June 24

Rank Metro area Metro abbreviation Percentage
1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX DFA 48.0%
2 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA LLA 42.9%
3 Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI DWD 40.9%
4 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI CNE 39.8%
5 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX HWS 33.6%
6 Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH BCN 33.5%
7 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV WAA 31.8%
8 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD PCW 30.1%
9 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL MFP 30.0%
10 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA STB 29.5%
11 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA ASA 26.4%
12 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA NNJ 23.4%
13 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA RSO 20.5%
14 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ PMC 13.8%
15 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA SOB 13.5%
  U.S. average 32.1%

June 25–July 22

Rank Metro area Metro abbreviation Percentage
1 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL MFP 55.9%
2 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA LLA 45.2%
3 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI CNE 44.7%
4 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ PMC 38.9%
5 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD PCW 37.2%
6 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX DFA 36.9%
7 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA SOB 31.6%
8 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA ASA 30.4%
9 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX HWS 29.5%
10 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA STB 25.2%
11 Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI DWD 24.5%
12 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA NNJ 22.1%
13 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA RSO 21.8%
14 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV WAA 20.3%
15 Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH BCN 14.0%
  U.S. average 31%

July 23–August 19

Rank Metro area Metro abbreviation Percentage
1 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX DFA 61.5%
2 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX HWS 55.1%
3 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ PMC 48.8%
4 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA RSO 47.1%
5 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA ASA 44.7%
6 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL MFP 44.2%
6 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV WAA 44.2%
8 Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI DWD 37.4%
9 Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH BCN 37.2%
10 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA LLA 35.4%
11 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI CNE 32.0%
12 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA STB 30.2%
13 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA SOB 29.0%
14 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD PCW 25.5%
15 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA NNJ 14.6%
  U.S. average 29.8%

August 20–September 16

Rank Metro area Metro abbreviation Percentage
1 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA SOB 50.8%
2 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX DFA 49.1%
3 Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI DWD 47.3%
4 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI CNE 46.1%
5 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA STB 38.1%
6 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA ASA 36.9%
7 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA NNJ 35.5%
8 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX HWS 34.8%
9 Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ PMC 30.1%
10 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD PCW 25.8%
11 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV WAA 25.0%
12 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA LLA 23.1%
13 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA RSO 20.0%
14 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL MFP 17.3%
15 Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH BCN 4.3%
  U.S. average 27.4%

State Data

The average percentage of residents who are likely to be evicted or foreclosed upon in 2024 in each U.S. state (Based on the average monthly percentage between January 9, 2024September 16, 2024)

Rank State State abbreviation Average % of residents likely to be evicted or foreclosed upon in 2024
1 Idaho ID 38.6%
2 Alaska AK 37.8%
3 Mississippi MS 37.1%
4 Vermont VT 37.1%
5 Maine ME 36.7%
6 Ohio OH 36.7%
7 New Mexico NM 36.4%
8 District of Columbia DC 36.1%
9 Maryland MD 36.1%
10 Oregon OR 36.0%
11 Nevada NV 34.9%
12 Texas TX 34.7%
13 Michigan MI 34.6%
14 Kentucky KY 34.5%
15 Arizona AZ 33.6%
16 Georgia GA 33.6%
17 North Carolina NC 33.5%
18 Delaware DE 33.2%
19 Missouri MO 33.1%
20 Montana MT 32.7%
21 Arkansas AR 32.6%
22 Tennessee TN 32.1%
23 Florida FL 31.5%
24 Colorado CO 31.3%
25 Kansas KS 31.3%
26 Illinois IL 31.2%
27 Oklahoma OK 31.2%
28 South Carolina SC 30.3%
29 South Dakota SD 30.0%
30 Indiana IN 29.7%
31 California CA 29.5%
32 Alabama AL 29.2%
33 North Dakota ND 29.1%
34 Connecticut CT 29.0%
35 Louisiana LA 28.5%
36 Iowa IA 28.3%
37 New Hampshire NH 28.3%
38 Wisconsin WI 28.3%
39 Washington WA 27.8%
40 Massachusetts MA 27.7%
41 West Virginia WV 27.7%
42 Nebraska NE 27.2%
43 Pennsylvania PA 26.5%
44 Wyoming WY 26.1%
45 New York NY 25.9%
46 Hawaii HI 25.6%
47 Virginia VA 25.4%
48 New Jersey NJ 23.1%
49 Rhode Island RI 22.6%
50 Minnesota MN 21.2%
51 Utah UT 19.9%

Source:
United States Census Bureau: Household Pulse Survey. https://www.census.gov/